Precursors of the Great Tribulation Climax

The bear market is already bringing back the fear of a future conflict between the United States and Russia even as the climax of the tensions between the two countries is still over 40 years in the future. The precursors are currently small and trivial as we are still in the early part of the Grand Supercycle degree bear market.

After the Cold War ended in 1991, rising social mood had kept the tensions between the United States and Russia at bay. The Cold War started in 1946 in the immediate aftermath of World War II. The end of the Cold War corresponds with the beginning of Primary wave [5] of Cycle wave V (1974 - 2000) up in the S&5 500 index. Although the Cold War persisted for 45 years, the most significant events unfolded during the largest social mood declines:

1 -- Primary wave [2] of Cycle wave III (1942 - 1966) up is associated with the Berlin Blockade, the Marshall Plan, and the Czechoslovak coup d'etat. 

2 -- Primary wave [4] of Cycle wave III (1942 - 1966) up is associated with the Cuban Missile Crisis.

3 -- Cycle wave IV (1966 - 1974) down is associated with the Prague Spring and the subsequent Warsaw Pact invasion of Czechoslovakia. A short time later, the Soviet Union introduced the Brezhnev Doctrine to justify putting an end to democratic liberalization efforts in the Eastern bloc.

4 -- Primary wave [2] of Cycle wave V (1974 - 2000) up is associated with the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan and the Reagan Doctrine in which Ronald Reagan labelled the Soviet Union as an "Evil Empire".

The Cold War also resulted in an arms race in which both the United States and the Soviet Union bolstered their nuclear weapons arsenals, and it resulted in a number of proxy wars in the third world.

The bear market is already bringing back the fear of a future conflict between the United States and Russia. The developments are trivial, but they likely foreshadow what is yet to come:

1 -- The popular video game Call of Duty : Modern Warfare 3 revolves around the story of an armed conflict between the United States and Russia in 2016 - 2017.

2 -- The movie Mission Impossible : Ghost Protocol also revolves around a conflict between the United States and Russia.

The United States is not the only country on the planet that is expanding its military-industrial complex. Russia is also modernizing its military capabilities as well, which could easily foreshadow future tensions between the United States and Russia in the future. The latest development is Russia working on a monster missile in response to US missile defense plans.

Bear markets of Supercycle degree and above always result in a war, an a 4000+ year historical perspective bears this out. Wars are associated with the largest "C" waves in a bear market, which in the case of the current bear market, would be "The Great Tribulation" (Supercycle wave (c)). The current bear market will result in World War III, which will start during Supercycle wave (c) of Grand Supercycle wave [IV]. During that time, both the United States and Russia will be in a state of war -- for the United States, it will be about the war on terror, for Russia, it will be about reclaiming lost territory and bringing back the Soviet Union and the Warsaw Pact. It is very likely that Iran will be the flash point that causes extreme tension between the two nations as Iran is allied with Russia.

It is perhaps very fortunate that the bear market isn't larger than Grand Supercycle degree. A Millennium degree bear market would have resulted in a limited nuclear exchange between the United States and Russia, with a 5 - 20 year nuclear winter to follow. A Super Millennium degree bear market would have resulted in a full scale nuclear exchange between the United States and Russia, causing a nuclear holocaust and a nuclear winter lasting 100+ years.

As "The Great Tribulation" reaches its climax, the bear market is expected to result in extreme tensions between the United States and Russia with the most dangerous game of chicken in the history of human civilization creating a global atmosphere of debilitating fear. The fear of an armed conflict will reach its climax in the 2052 - 2060 time frame as the bear market low point approaches. One can imagine the news in the mainstream media and the political world in 2055:

"A war between the United States and Russia is the harbinger of a new dark age for human civilization"

There will be a lot of tough talk, a lot of aggressive posturing, and a lot of saber rattling between the two nations during the last part of "The Great Tribulation", but no actual conflict is expected to take place.