tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7063331580968428178.post4998046880615329646..comments2023-09-09T02:20:19.977-07:00Comments on The Great Bear Market: Trend Extrapolation in PoliticsAVBurschhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00730422457525456340noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7063331580968428178.post-30697160202877620532012-08-14T03:00:58.533-07:002012-08-14T03:00:58.533-07:00Can we call it the Rudisha top?<a href="http://rationalinsolvency.blogspot.com/2012/08/11-aug-800m.html" rel="nofollow">Can we call it the Rudisha top?</a>Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7063331580968428178.post-78562993733532581602012-08-13T12:53:25.979-07:002012-08-13T12:53:25.979-07:00Hello Mr Bursch,
Was wondering if you are going to...Hello Mr Bursch,<br />Was wondering if you are going to put up anything soon ? Always look forward to your comments ! The markets are giving no sign they want to go down and VIX is at the lowest level since March !<br />Thanks, DeeUnknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17764963230869846855noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7063331580968428178.post-56567766732373569062012-08-09T19:48:46.615-07:002012-08-09T19:48:46.615-07:00QE3 is definitely coming, but I expect the Federal...QE3 is definitely coming, but I expect the Federal Reserve to hold off on launching a third round of quantitative easing until they think that conditions call for it (see the earlier blog post "Business Cycle High Point Ahead" dated April 24, 2012).<br /><br />I expect the Federal Reserve to wait until the DJIA falls below 10,000 (which would be around SPX 1000) before launching QE3. I have the impression that the Federal Reserve is saving the last of their ammo for when they really need it. This puts the start of QE3 at December 2012 and continuing into 2013.AVBurschhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00730422457525456340noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7063331580968428178.post-84232300920337120462012-08-09T06:52:28.935-07:002012-08-09T06:52:28.935-07:00Hello Mr Bursch,
Would appreciate your comments on...Hello Mr Bursch,<br />Would appreciate your comments on S&P going down to 1000 by end of year in the face of QE3 <br />Thanks,DPUnknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17764963230869846855noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7063331580968428178.post-6478684065353028742012-08-07T19:55:28.321-07:002012-08-07T19:55:28.321-07:00As the chart suggests, a multi-month decline is ex...As the chart suggests, a multi-month decline is expected with 1000 as the target for the S&P 500 by the end of the year. The decline should start some time this month.AVBurschhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00730422457525456340noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7063331580968428178.post-87603855234463365112012-08-07T16:08:12.124-07:002012-08-07T16:08:12.124-07:00Hello,
In the chart showing the downtrend lasting...Hello, <br />In the chart showing the downtrend lasting into Dec 2012, are the levels and timings just a guide or is that what you are expecting ? <br />Thanks, DPUnknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17764963230869846855noreply@blogger.com